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Home Health Covid 19 vaccination: When my turn?

Covid 19 vaccination: When my turn?

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Omni Calculator is a reliable tool to figure out your place in the queue of coronavirus vaccine. Here’s how it works

It’s difficult for governments to keep track of their vaccination schedule set at the beginning of the campaign due to numerous changes  (Shortage of vaccination centers, shortage of vaccines …). Omni Calculator is a simulation tool aimed at calculating in real-time, and taking into account the hazards, the approximate dates of vaccination in 6 countries until today: Canada- France- Ireland- India- Scotland and UK.

The tool is part of the Omni Calculator website, which is developed for free access on the internet, and it includes 1,500 calculators used by 13 million people every month to help make sense of various topics with data. This online calculator is used to estimate the waiting time to be vaccinated against Covid-19 in several countries, but is considered as neither official nor medical.

close up picture of doctor’s hands holding hypodermic syringe

Salam Moubarak, a doctor of the National Institute of Applied Sciences (Insa) from Villeurbanne, alongside his Polish colleague Maciej Kowalski, the robotics engineer designed this tool at the time of the vaccination campaign in England which started before the rest of the European countries on December 8, 2020. 

”In a few weeks the page was visited for more than 15 million times, ”says the scientist. Since then, the two partners have been developing the same type of calculator for other countries including Canada, France and more.” Specialized in the development of calculators, we wanted to facilitate the work of these people (the population, editor’s note) by offering them an answer based on the data of their country”, continues the doctor.

At the end of January 2021, more than 1.4 million vaccinations in France had been recorded. A pace which should nevertheless slow down in a few days due to delays in deliveries from pharmaceutical companies. So when can the French expect to be vaccinated? ‘We said to ourselves that there were plenty of people who should ask themselves this question,’ explains Salam Mubarak, one of the two researchers who developed Omni Calculator for free access on the Internet.

France

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected every country in the world, and has impacted the lives of all of us. The number of victims in France has already exceeded 76,000, not to mention the social and economic costs. We all think it’s high time we got rid of it, but what can we do to make it happen? The most effective method to fight this kind of enemy is to create a vaccine targeting it 💉.

France has just launched one of the largest vaccination campaigns in its history. Gradually targeting different segments of its population and ultimately the vaccination of more than 70% of French people and the achievement of collective immunity.

The tool has appeared in France for ten days. With the objective of determining a range of dates when patients could be vaccinated for a first and then a second injection. The algorithm determines it according to the criteria: age, presence or not in an EHPAD, profession in contact with patients, pregnancy, health history, case of contact with people positive for the virus.

Take the example of a 24-year-old French woman, in great shape, who is not positive to Covid-19. The tool indicates that as of February 6/2021, 19,194,000 people to 28,994,000 people need to be vaccinated first. In this, this person could receive their first injection between September 12, 2022, and July 7, 2023. Then, they will receive the second dose between October  3, 2022, and July 28, 2023, as shown in the result.

Canada

On December 9, 2020, Canada approved the Pfizer vaccine on an emergency-use basis. This was dated seven months after clinical trials started. They were able to do this at superfast speed by continuous analysis of the trial data rather than waiting until the end of all the trials. After Pfizer, Moderna was approved in Canada on December 23, 2020.

Let’s take for example Justin, a 26 years old man who’s in great shape, work as a bus driver, based on his profile, he could be in Stage 2 of the national guidelines for the COVID-19 vaccine roll-out. There are between 5,066,517 and 11,624,624 people in front of him in the queue for a COVID-19 vaccine across Canada. His priority group could differ under his provincial guidelines.  Using these vaccination rates and an uptake of 70.3%, he should expect to receive your two doses of vaccine and get maximum immunity by between early October 2021 and mid-April 2022.

Spain

In Spain, the number of direct deaths now exceeds 53,000 deaths, not counting indirect deaths or economic effects in the country. The most effective way to combat this enemy

to create a vaccine. Many companies have been involved in this race against time since the Coronavirus was discovered, and some have been successful. Since Spain has more than 47 million inhabitants, not everyone can be vaccinated immediately.

Mariana for instance is a 44 years old woman with high risk conditions, based on her profile and a 79% vaccine acceptance rate, she has between 2,025,045 and 12,966,908 people ahead of her waiting  to receive the COVID-19 vaccine in Spain. Taking into account the vaccination schedule, she should receive the first dose of the vaccine between March 1, 2021, and May 31, 2021. And her second dose approximately 21 days later. 

These results are based on the government’s estimate of delivering around 1,513,890 doses every week in Spain, as the vaccination rates are expected to change will change. 

India

As for India, they’ve Vaccinated 1.3 billion people across 33 states, and it doesn’t seem to be an easy challenge. As all the state governments unite to make this massive task as seamless as possible, according to the central government, the first doses of vaccination will be given, as a priority, to the COVID-19 warriors, senior citizens, and those under 50 with health conditions.

Let’s take Khan who is a doctor at a local hospital in Delhi. Based on his profile, there are between 0 and 2,25,900 people in front of him in the queue for a COVID-19 vaccine across Delhi. Given a vaccination rate of 30,814 a week and an uptake of 80%, he should expect to receive two doses of vaccine and have maximum protection by between early April 2021 and mid-June 2021.

3 COMMENTS

  1. Good morning, everybody! Looking forward to this readthon and to getting to know new people! Checking in from Germany, not on lockdown yet, but I have been working from home for a week and only have been outside when I needed to do a spot of shopping. Got up two hours ago and spent 1:45 of those listening to my current audiobook, False Value by Ben Aaronovitch. See you later, thanks for hosting this! Cristionna Karlan Grayson

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